A governance-first read on athlete capital. Inputs flow through a deterministic, versioned engine — Pro Ownership NIL Value into a Total Athlete Capital Score, adjusted by a six-factor risk composite, then projected across the athlete's earning lifecycle.
Lifetime Capital Curve
Base projection vs. risk-decayed value across the earning lifecycle
Capital composition
What builds the score, before normalization
Pro Ownership NIL Value (PONV) captures market-implied value scaled by monetization, audience economics, and category fit — then risk-adjusted. PONV = (MIV × SM × EM × CF) × RA
Market inputs
Sample values loaded — swap in verified figures
Six risk factors, each 0–100 (higher = more risk). Their average is the composite that decays the lifetime curve. Governance Capital is a positive input that also feeds TACS.
Risk factors
Composite = simple average of the six
Governance Capital (GC)
Consent, rights clarity, and audit posture — a positive TACS input
Health Capital (HC) reflects durability, injury history, and recovery infrastructure as a capital input — distinct from the health risk factor.
Health Capital inputs
Placeholder scaffold for the V1 engine
Data Capital (DC) values ownership and control of the athlete's audience, licensing rights, and Web3 readiness — the assets least likely to be captured by any single platform.
Data ownership inputs
Lower platform dependence raises effective data capital
Career Bridge captures the post-playing arc — education, executive potential, and financial literacy — plus the Wealth Multiplier (WM) applied to PONV inside TACS.
Career & wealth inputs
The Ownership-stage thesis: athlete to enterprise
The signature output: base capital projected across six lifecycle nodes, and the same path decayed by composite risk. The widening gap is the cost of unmanaged risk over a career.
Projection nodes
| Age node | Base | Risk-adj. | Decay |
|---|
How it's computed
Deterministic, versioned, auditable
Score derivation
| Component | Value |
|---|
Risk factor detail
| Factor | 0–100 |
|---|